If you have not already taken the opportunity to check out the link on CNBC with Rick Santelli going ballistic on the septic nonsense the White House has produced in its latest effort to stabilize housing, I recommend you do so in my previous blog.

 

I want to help people see through the lines and noise of the media and misinformation that is plaguing us all.  Lets look at the tid bits of the new housing plan that we know and lets then take a real look at reality as it is presented in today’s real estate market.

 

The plan calls for people that are gainfully employed to be able to refinance to a low market rate of interest as long as their loan value is not more than 105% above the new mortgage value.  The main focus will be with existing FNMA and Freddie Mac loans but I am sure other lenders will also qualify.

 

Ok, this sounds great, but what is wrong with this picture?  We are in a deflationary environment and many people are underwater on their homes by $100-300K.  These are many of the people that are considering walking away from their homes and dumping their problem on their lenders resulting in FORECLOSURE.  I don’t see the final bill sending out hundreds of thousands of dollars to make everyone’s bad investment decision a good one.  A mere 5% does very little to get at the root of the real problem.  Given this, the Real Estate Short Sale is once again front and center as the best and most effective tool for the distressed homeowner or over exposed real estate investor.

 

Now let’s look at the loan modification part of the plan.  Reflecting back on past blogs you know that in order to be eligible for any type of loan modification you must have a job.  I believe the plan will issue subsidies to incentivize the lenders to make loan modifications where they normally wouldn’t but don’t count on forgiven mortgage debt.  Keep in mind investors own this paper and they have the right to decide and sue.  If you think smooth talking Obama is going to turn contract law over with the stroke of a pen and undermine the foundation of capitalism, I am telling you I wouldn’t bet on it.  Free markets and capitalism must survive or Obama runs out of money. 

 

If you take the last two paragraphs and merge them together you come up with lots of people that will want loan modifications or refinancing that are underwater on their homes by a significant margin.  I hate to introduce reality but this is the view from my window every day.  Are you going to be happy with a loan modification that takes you down to 31% of monthly gross income when you know you owe another 200K and there are stings attached?  This is my question to you.  I know people are suffering.  Why not plan to move within a couple football fields of your current home and rent for something you can afford while you simultaneously pursue a Short Sale and get all the debt forgiven?  I am not crazy.  This is a real option.  It’s not easy but I suggest you at least consider a short sale because it is the only free market option available to you where you hold the reins.

 

Here are my final thoughts on whatever the final Obama Lunchcapades of Housing produces.  I am happy to see that they are coming out with something. I am not as made or vocal as Rick Santelli of CNBC because I know that anything that comes out as free lunch will only be a band aid until the economy begins to recover.  Once all the programs an stimulus kick in and really begin to gain traction it will be back to free market business as usual.  What does this mean for you?  If you are in trouble you will fail and the steam roller of capitalism will move you over like a daisy.  Lenders will foreclose on you with complete ambivalence.  Your home will be sold to someone new, you will become a statistic, and the process of renewal will move ahead in an orderly fashion.

 

Please do not think the government gives a crap about you, they don’t.  They care about the free market that is it.  If they cared about you the programs from last year would have come to everyone’s rescue and the politicians, corporate CEO’s, Treasury Secretary, etc would not have been allow to lie through their teeth on television.  Do you not remember that “everything was fine” at Bear Sterns, FNMA, Freddie Mac, AIG, Lehman Bothers.  I have had about enough of the deception and lies.  Take the reins in your own hands and rise to ultimate solution to Avoid Foreclosure with The Real Estate Short Sale.  We will show you how to do it the right way at www.thenegotiatedsolution.com and get the debt forgiven.

 

Blogging from the front line of the housing crisis. 

 

GHunter

Submitted on Saturday, February 21st, 2009 at 3:29 pm